The Buffett Indicator and Shiller P/E Ratio Are in Rarified Territory -- Are Things About to Get Ugly for Stocks?
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– The Shiller P/E ratio (the same indicator that flashed red before the 1929 crash & dot-com bubble) is now above 39 — its highest in 22 years. (Source: Robert Shiller, Yale University Data Center) – The U.S. yield curve inverted for two years straight (Oct 2022 – Dec 2024) — a recession signal that has correctly predicted every downturn since 1950. (Source: U.S. Federal Reserve) – Nearly half of the S&P 500’s market cap now sits in just seven AI-driven stocks — mirroring the tech concentration
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